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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Upper Downtown Canton Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39151702100 · Stark County, OH · pop 3,139 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 39151702100 covers part of the Upper Downtown Canton Historic District area of Canton, OH, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,139 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 33% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$38,042

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Upper Downtown Canton Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 26 tracts In Canton
Moderate
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 90 tracts In Stark County
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#295 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Canton and the region

Centroid at 40.7942, -81.3515 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper Downtown Canton Historic District scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Canton
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Canton
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Canton
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Canton
7.7

How Upper Downtown Canton Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Upper Downtown Canton Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 7021004.4Cantonparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,364Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 13.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.1%Peak (2006)
  • 76Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 39151702100
Filings dropped 25% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper Downtown Canton Historic District

The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.7 points above the Stark County average of 4.1. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.0% against 14.2% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,364 filings here across 15 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2006 at 15.1% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Canton. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 39151702100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151702100?

Census tract 39151702100 in the Upper Downtown Canton Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39151702100?

Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39151702100?

33.0% of residents in tract 39151702100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,139.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39151702100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 59th, minority 75th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 39151702100 considered part of Upper Downtown Canton Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151702100 fall within Upper Downtown Canton Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151702100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,364 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151702100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.15% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39151702100 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39151702100 compare to Canton overall?

Tract 39151702100 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Canton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 39151702100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Canton

Top eight tracts in Canton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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