Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Upper Downtown Canton Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39151702100 · Stark County, OH · pop 3,139 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 39151702100 covers the Upper Downtown Canton Historic District neighborhood of Canton, home to 3,139 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
34% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $904 monthly, set against $38,042 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,280
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate33.0%
Median income$38,042
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Canton and the region
Centroid at 40.7942, -81.3515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Upper Downtown Canton Historic District scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Canton
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
33.0% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$904 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Canton
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Canton
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Canton
7.7
How Upper Downtown Canton Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 16%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 29%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,364Total filings over 15 yrs
- 13.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.1%Peak (2006)
- 76Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.0%Housing insecurity
- 21.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 35.6%Food insecurity
- 38.3%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 12.6%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 42.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Upper Downtown Canton Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Canton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stark County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,364 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.1% of renter households in 2006.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39151702100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151702100?
Census tract 39151702100 in the Upper Downtown Canton Historic District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39151702100?
Median gross rent is $904/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39151702100?
33.0% of residents in tract 39151702100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,139.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39151702100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 59th, minority 75th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 39151702100 considered part of Upper Downtown Canton Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151702100 fall within Upper Downtown Canton Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151702100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,364 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151702100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.15% of renter households, peaking at 15.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39151702100 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39151702100 compare to Canton overall?
Tract 39151702100 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Canton at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Canton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39151702100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 29% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Canton
Top eight tracts in Canton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Canton Arts District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
West Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
West Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39151702500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
The Boulevards
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown Canton Arts District
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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