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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Fourth Street Historic District Eviction Risk: Lower , Massillon

Tract 39151714302 · Stark County, OH · pop 4,216 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.7/10, tract 39151714302 in the Fourth Street Historic District area of Massillon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,216 residents. It lands near the 64th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 73% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $825 a month while the average household earns $65,829 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 7% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,809
Renter share24.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$65,829

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Fourth Street Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 14 tracts In Massillon
High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#33 of 90 tracts In Stark County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,320 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Massillon and the region

Centroid at 40.8004, -81.4911 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fourth Street Historic District scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Massillon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$825 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Massillon
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Massillon
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Massillon
6.1

How Fourth Street Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fourth Street Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 714302Massillon: 2.52.5Massillonparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 368Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.61%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2006)
  • 16Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 391517143022003: 23 filings (6.01/100 renter HHs)2004: 33 filings (8.62/100 renter HHs)2005: 31 filings (6.39/100 renter HHs)2006: 38 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)2008: 35 filings (7.21/100 renter HHs)2009: 27 filings (5.56/100 renter HHs)2010: 22 filings (5.73/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (5.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 20 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2013: 24 filings (5.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2015: 20 filings (4.60/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (4.45/100 renter HHs)2017: 26 filings (6.09/100 renter HHs)2018: 16 filings (3.75/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fourth Street Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fourth Street Historic District

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Massillon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Stark County average of 5.2 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 368 eviction filings here over 15 tracked years, with about 5.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.8% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39151714302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39151714302?

Census tract 39151714302 in the Fourth Street Historic District neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39151714302?

Median gross rent is $825/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39151714302?

14.8% of residents in tract 39151714302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,216.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39151714302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 63th, minority 23th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 39151714302 considered part of Fourth Street Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39151714302 fall within Fourth Street Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39151714302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 368 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39151714302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.61% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39151714302 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39151714302 compare to Massillon overall?

Tract 39151714302 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of Massillon at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Massillon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Massillon

Top eight tracts in Massillon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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