Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Breezewood Knoll Eviction Risk: Moderate , Girard
Tract 39155931900 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 5,645 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 39155931900, home to 5,645 residents in the Breezewood Knoll area of Girard, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $762 a month while the average household earns $43,462 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,562
Renter share55.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate28.5%
Median income$43,462
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Girard and the region
Centroid at 41.1440, -80.6503 · click any tract to drill in
Why Breezewood Knoll scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Girard
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
28.5% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$762 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Girard
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Girard
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Girard
6.6
How Breezewood Knoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 1%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 1 yrs
- 9.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.4%Peak (2016)
- 106Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 19.0%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 8.8%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Breezewood Knoll
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Girard, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 9.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.4% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155931900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155931900?
Census tract 39155931900 in the Breezewood Knoll neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155931900?
Median gross rent is $762/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155931900?
28.5% of residents in tract 39155931900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,645.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155931900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 61th, minority 60th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 39155931900 considered part of Breezewood Knoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155931900 fall within Breezewood Knoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155931900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155931900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.43% of renter households, peaking at 9.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155931900 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155931900 compare to Girard overall?
Tract 39155931900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Girard at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Girard; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39155931900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Girard
Top eight tracts in Girard ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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