Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Belmont Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Churchill
Tract 39155932000 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 5,878 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
39155932000 is a census tract in the Belmont Park area of Churchill, OH. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,878 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,193
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$78,402
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Churchill and the region
Centroid at 41.1865, -80.6616 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belmont Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Churchill
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Churchill
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Churchill
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Churchill
2.6
How Belmont Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 1 yrs
- 8.59%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.6%Peak (2016)
- 22Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belmont Park
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10.
It sits 1.1 points below the Trumbull County average of 4.1. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.6/10. At $901 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Churchill commands.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 22 filings here across 1 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 8.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $78,402, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155932000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932000?
Census tract 39155932000 in the Belmont Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155932000?
Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932000?
13.7% of residents in tract 39155932000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 60th, minority 17th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 39155932000 considered part of Belmont Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932000 fall within Belmont Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.59% of renter households, peaking at 8.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155932000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155932000 compare to Churchill overall?
Tract 39155932000 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Churchill at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Churchill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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