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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Howland Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Niles

Tract 39155932900 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,544 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 39155932900 in the Howland Terrace area of Niles, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. At $1,103 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Niles commands.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 27% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$66,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Howland Terrace
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Niles
Moderate
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#1,506 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niles and the region

Centroid at 41.2165, -80.7327 · click any tract to drill in

Why Howland Terrace scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4

How Howland Terrace compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Howland Terrace risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 9329004.0Nilesparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2016)
  • 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Howland Terrace

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.

The voucher gap is 24.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The poverty rate is 18%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 filings here across 1 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters.

It tracks the Trumbull County average of 4.1 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155932900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932900?

Census tract 39155932900 in the Howland Terrace neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155932900?

Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932900?

18.2% of residents in tract 39155932900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,544.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 65th, minority 17th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 39155932900 considered part of Howland Terrace?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932900 fall within Howland Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.47% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155932900 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155932900 compare to Niles overall?

Tract 39155932900 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Niles at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niles

Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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