Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Howland Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , Niles
Tract 39155932900 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,544 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Eviction risk in Howland Terrace in Niles centers on tract 39155932900, which scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 2,544 residents. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,103 monthly, set against $66,583 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 43% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,015
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$66,583
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Niles and the region
Centroid at 41.2165, -80.7327 · click any tract to drill in
Why Howland Terrace scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,103 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4
How Howland Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2016)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 7.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.4%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Howland Terrace
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niles, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.5% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155932900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155932900?
Census tract 39155932900 in the Howland Terrace neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155932900?
Median gross rent is $1,103/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155932900?
18.2% of residents in tract 39155932900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,544.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155932900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 65th, minority 17th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 39155932900 considered part of Howland Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155932900 fall within Howland Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155932900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155932900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.47% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155932900 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155932900 compare to Niles overall?
Tract 39155932900 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Niles
Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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