Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Niles Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39155933301 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,179 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 39155933301 in the Niles Junction area of Niles, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,179 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,057
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$36,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Niles and the region
Centroid at 41.1688, -80.7970 · click any tract to drill in
Why Niles Junction scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$653 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4
How Niles Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 2%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 30Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2016)
- 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 16.2%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 19.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Niles Junction
30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Trumbull County average of 39.0%. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Average gross rent is $653, 18% below the Niles average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 30 filings here across 1 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #39,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. It tracks the Trumbull County average of 4.1 closely.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $36,458. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155933301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933301?
Census tract 39155933301 in the Niles Junction neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155933301?
Median gross rent is $653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933301?
16.6% of residents in tract 39155933301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,179.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 66th, minority 2th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 39155933301 considered part of Niles Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933301 fall within Niles Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.89% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155933301 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155933301 compare to Niles overall?
Tract 39155933301 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Niles
Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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