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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Niles Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 39155933301 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 2,179 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 39155933301 in Niles Junction in Niles ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,179 residents. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 30% of renter households, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $653 monthly, set against $36,458 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 19% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,057
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$36,458

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Niles Junction
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Niles
High
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#839 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niles and the region

Centroid at 41.1688, -80.7970 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niles Junction scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niles
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$653 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niles
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niles
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niles
5.4

How Niles Junction compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Niles Junction risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 933301Niles: 2.42.4Nilesparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 30Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 7.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2016)
  • 30Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niles Junction

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Niles, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39155933301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933301?

Census tract 39155933301 in the Niles Junction neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39155933301?

Median gross rent is $653/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933301?

16.6% of residents in tract 39155933301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,179.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 66th, minority 2th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 39155933301 considered part of Niles Junction?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933301 fall within Niles Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 30 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.89% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39155933301 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39155933301 compare to Niles overall?

Tract 39155933301 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Niles at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niles; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niles

Top eight tracts in Niles ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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