Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Duck Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lordstown
Tract 39155933400 ·
Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,327 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 39155933400 covers part of the Duck Creek area of Lordstown, OH, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,327. 13% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Trumbull County average of 39.0%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 12%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,389
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$64,503
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Duck Creek
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lordstown
Moderate
Within county
0th percentile
#54 of 54 tracts In Trumbull County
Very Low
Within state
31th percentile
#2,197 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lordstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1710, -80.8663 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duck Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lordstown
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lordstown
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lordstown
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lordstown
4.3
How Duck Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
27%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
4Total filings over 1 yrs
2.65%Avg annual filing rate
2.7%Peak (2016)
4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.0%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
13.2%Food insecurity
10.8%SNAP enrollment
7.0%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duck Creek
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.9/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.3/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 2.4/10. Against the Trumbull County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 1 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 2.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155933400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933400?
Census tract 39155933400 in the Duck Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155933400?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933400?
7.8% of residents in tract 39155933400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,327.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 46th, minority 6th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 39155933400 considered part of Duck Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933400 fall within Duck Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155933400 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155933400 compare to Lordstown overall?
Tract 39155933400 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lordstown at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lordstown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.