Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Duck Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Lordstown
Tract 39155933400 · Trumbull County, OH · pop 3,327 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Duck Creek area of Lordstown is where census tract 39155933400 sits, home to 3,327 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.1/10. That is riskier than about 13% of US census tracts.
13% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $968 a month while the average household earns $64,503 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,389
Renter share13.7%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$64,503
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lordstown and the region
Centroid at 41.1710, -80.8663 · click any tract to drill in
Why Duck Creek scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lordstown
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$968 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lordstown
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lordstown
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lordstown
4.3
How Duck Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 1 yrs
- 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.7%Peak (2016)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Duck Creek
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lordstown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Trumbull County average of 5.3 and below the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 19th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39155933400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39155933400?
Census tract 39155933400 in the Duck Creek neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39155933400?
Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39155933400?
7.8% of residents in tract 39155933400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,327.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39155933400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 46th, minority 6th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 39155933400 considered part of Duck Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39155933400 fall within Duck Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39155933400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 39155933400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 2.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39155933400 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39155933400 compare to Lordstown overall?
Tract 39155933400 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lordstown at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lordstown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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