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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Hill Park Addition Eviction Risk: Moderate , Guthrie

Tract 40083600200 · Logan County, OK · pop 2,931 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 40083600200 sits in the Hill Park Addition area of Guthrie eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Logan County average of 32.0%.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 16% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,001
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate38.1%
Median income$27,383

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Hill Park Addition
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Guthrie
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Logan County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Guthrie and the region

Centroid at 35.8927, -97.4435 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hill Park Addition scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Guthrie
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.1% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,021 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guthrie
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guthrie
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guthrie
8.1

How Hill Park Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hill Park Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 6002004.0Guthrieparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Hill Park Addition. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hill Park Addition

Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $27,383, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 47.0% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.9% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Logan County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

At $1,021 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Guthrie commands. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40083600200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40083600200?

Census tract 40083600200 in the Hill Park Addition neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40083600200?

Median gross rent is $1,021/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40083600200?

38.1% of residents in tract 40083600200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,931.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40083600200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 25th, minority 52th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 40083600200 considered part of Hill Park Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40083600200 fall within Hill Park Addition (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40083600200 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40083600200 compare to Guthrie overall?

Tract 40083600200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Guthrie at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guthrie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Guthrie

Top eight tracts in Guthrie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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