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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Fogarty Heights Addition Eviction Risk: Moderate , Guthrie

Tract 40083601000 · Logan County, OK · pop 2,402 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 40083601000 in the Fogarty Heights Addition neighborhood of Guthrie ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,402 residents. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 42% of renter households, a severe level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $755 a month against an average household income of $39,418 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 50% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units944
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$39,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fogarty Heights Addition
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Guthrie
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 13 tracts In Logan County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Guthrie and the region

Centroid at 35.8757, -97.4122 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fogarty Heights Addition scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Guthrie
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$755 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guthrie
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guthrie
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guthrie
8.1

How Fogarty Heights Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fogarty Heights Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 601000Guthrie: 2.42.4Guthrieparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fogarty Heights Addition

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Guthrie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Logan County average of 4.5 and above the Oklahoma statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 40083601000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40083601000?

Census tract 40083601000 in the Fogarty Heights Addition neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40083601000?

Median gross rent is $755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40083601000?

32.2% of residents in tract 40083601000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,402.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40083601000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 85th, minority 61th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 40083601000 considered part of Fogarty Heights Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40083601000 fall within Fogarty Heights Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40083601000 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40083601000 compare to Guthrie overall?

Tract 40083601000 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Guthrie at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guthrie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Guthrie

Top eight tracts in Guthrie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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