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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Fogarty Heights Addition Eviction Risk: Moderate , Guthrie

Tract 40083601000 · Logan County, OK · pop 2,402 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 40083601000 in the Fogarty Heights Addition area of Guthrie, OK reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,402. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.4/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units944
Renter share50.1%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$39,418

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Fogarty Heights Addition
Moderate
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Guthrie
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Logan County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Guthrie and the region

Centroid at 35.8757, -97.4122 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fogarty Heights Addition scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Guthrie
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.6
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$755 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Guthrie
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Guthrie
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Guthrie
8.1

How Fogarty Heights Addition compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fogarty Heights Addition risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 6010004.0Guthrieparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fogarty Heights Addition

The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Logan County average of 32.0%.

Disability prevalence runs 46.6% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Against the Logan County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.

Food insecurity runs 27.7% against 17.8% nationally. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $755, 13% below the Guthrie average.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40083601000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40083601000?

Census tract 40083601000 in the Fogarty Heights Addition neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40083601000?

Median gross rent is $755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40083601000?

32.2% of residents in tract 40083601000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,402.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40083601000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 85th, minority 61th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 40083601000 considered part of Fogarty Heights Addition?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40083601000 fall within Fogarty Heights Addition (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40083601000 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40083601000 compare to Guthrie overall?

Tract 40083601000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Guthrie at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Guthrie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Guthrie

Top eight tracts in Guthrie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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