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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Orchard Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tulsa

Tract 40143003400 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,042 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 40143003400 sits in the Forest Orchard area of Tulsa eviction risk, OK, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.7/10. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 39% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units1,155
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate21.1%
Median income$47,176

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forest Orchard
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#56 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#59 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#260 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulsa and the region

Centroid at 36.1442, -95.9669 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Orchard scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.1% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$878 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5

How Forest Orchard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Orchard risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 003400Tulsa: 3.43.4Tulsaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Orchard

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 70% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. At $878 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Tulsa commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Tulsa. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 55th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 44% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143003400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143003400?

Census tract 40143003400 in the Forest Orchard neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143003400?

Median gross rent is $878/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143003400?

21.1% of residents in tract 40143003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,042.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143003400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 20th, minority 50th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 40143003400 considered part of Forest Orchard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143003400 fall within Forest Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143003400 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143003400 compare to Tulsa overall?

Tract 40143003400 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tulsa at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 40143003400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa

Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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