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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Shadow Mountain Eviction Risk: Lower , Tulsa

Tract 40143007616 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,500 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 3/10, tract 40143007616 in the Shadow Mountain area of Tulsa, OK reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 18% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 17% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,682
Renter share20.6%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$115,857

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shadow Mountain
Moderate
Within parent city
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 140 tracts In Tulsa
Low
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#195 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tulsa and the region

Centroid at 36.0681, -95.8928 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shadow Mountain scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tulsa
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,357 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tulsa
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tulsa
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tulsa
2.5

How Shadow Mountain compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shadow Mountain risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 007616Tulsa: 3.43.4Tulsaparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shadow Mountain

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

At $1,357 a month, rents run 29% over what the rest of Tulsa commands. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 0.7 points below the Tulsa County average of 3.7. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $115,857, annual rent is just 14%.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007616

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007616?

Census tract 40143007616 in the Shadow Mountain neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007616?

Median gross rent is $1,357/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007616?

3.0% of residents in tract 40143007616 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,500.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007616?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 42th, minority 56th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007616 considered part of Shadow Mountain?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007616 fall within Shadow Mountain (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007616 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007616 compare to Tulsa overall?

Tract 40143007616 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tulsa at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tulsa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tulsa

Top eight tracts in Tulsa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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