Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Road Eviction Risk: Elevated , Oak Grove
Tract 41005021400 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,139 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
41005021400 is a census tract in the Lake Road area of Oak Grove, OR. It scores 6.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,139. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,946
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$83,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
84
th percentile
High
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.4217, -122.6227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Road scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,624 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.3
How Lake Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2008)
- 19Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Road
What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. Against the Clackamas County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Court records carry 130 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Clackamas County average of 50.1%. Filings peaked in 2008 at 4.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021400?
Census tract 41005021400 in the Lake Road neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021400?
Median gross rent is $1,624/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021400?
10.0% of residents in tract 41005021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 73th, minority 21th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021400 considered part of Lake Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021400 fall within Lake Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021400 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 41005021400 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Grove at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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