Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Road Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Grove
Tract 41005021400 · Clackamas County, OR · pop 5,139 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 41005021400 in the Lake Road neighborhood of Oak Grove ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 5,139 residents. That is riskier than about 80% of US census tracts.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,624 a month while the average household earns $83,900 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,946
Renter share28.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$83,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 45.4217, -122.6227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Road scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,624 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
6.3
How Lake Road compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2008)
- 19Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Road
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Clackamas County average of 5.8 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41005021400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41005021400?
Census tract 41005021400 in the Lake Road neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41005021400?
Median gross rent is $1,624/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41005021400?
10.0% of residents in tract 41005021400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,139.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41005021400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 73th, minority 21th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 41005021400 considered part of Lake Road?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41005021400 fall within Lake Road (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41005021400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41005021400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.22% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 41005021400 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 41005021400 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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