Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Heceta Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41039000706 · Lane County, OR · pop 3,359 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 41039000706 covers Heceta Beach in Heceta Beach, home to 3,359 residents. For landlords it grades 6.1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 63% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,180 a month against an average household income of $79,154 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,625
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$79,154
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Heceta Beach and the region
Centroid at 44.0461, -124.1154 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heceta Beach scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Heceta Beach
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Heceta Beach
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Heceta Beach
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Heceta Beach
7.5
How Heceta Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 49%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 12 yrs
- 0.67%Avg annual filing rate
- 0.8%Peak (2011)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 24Total filings 2020-21
- 0.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.19×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Eugene, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heceta Beach
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Heceta Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lane County average of 6.1 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.8% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41039000706
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41039000706?
Census tract 41039000706 in the Heceta Beach neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41039000706?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41039000706?
11.3% of residents in tract 41039000706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,359.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41039000706?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 58th, minority 13th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 41039000706 considered part of Heceta Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41039000706 fall within Heceta Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41039000706?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 41039000706 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.67% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41039000706 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.19× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Eugene eviction risk, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41039000706 compare to Heceta Beach overall?
Tract 41039000706 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Heceta Beach at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Heceta Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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