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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Holiday Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Newport

Tract 41041951200 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,258 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Holiday Beach neighborhood of Newport is where census tract 41041951200 sits, home to 2,258 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is $1/10. It lands near the 38th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 22% of renter households, a modest level, and 4% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,083 a month against an average household income of $83,146 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 11% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,043
Renter share13.5%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$83,146

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Holiday Beach
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Newport
Very Low
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 18 tracts In Lincoln County
Low
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#465 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Newport and the region

Centroid at 44.5650, -124.0466 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holiday Beach scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Newport
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,083 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newport
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newport
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newport
7.2

How Holiday Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holiday Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 951200Newport: 6.86.8Newportparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 3.85%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.5%Peak (2003)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410419512002002: 6 filings (3.23/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (6.46/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (7.18/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (3.26/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (4.57/100 renter HHs)2010: 4 filings (1.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 1 filings (0.47/100 renter HHs)2016: 8 filings (3.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 9 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 15Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-02-01 to 2025-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holiday Beach

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Newport, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lincoln County average of 5.6 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 61 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.5% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41041951200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951200?

Census tract 41041951200 in the Holiday Beach neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41041951200?

Median gross rent is $1,083/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 22% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951200?

6.4% of residents in tract 41041951200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,258.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 85th, minority 27th, housing 57th.
Q5

Is tract 41041951200 considered part of Holiday Beach?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41041951200 fall within Holiday Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 41041951200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.85% of renter households, peaking at 6.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 41041951200 compare to Newport overall?

Tract 41041951200 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Newport at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newport; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Newport

Top eight tracts in Newport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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