Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Bayshore Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 41041951500 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,907 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Bayshore
Here is how census tract 41041951500, in Bayshore, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,907. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.
41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $947 monthly, set against $57,563 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,585
Renter share11.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate25.1%
Median income$57,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bayshore and the region
Centroid at 44.4771, -123.9293 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayshore scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bayshore
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
25.1% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore
4.8
How Bayshore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 25
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 24Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2008)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 18Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayshore
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lincoln County average of 5.6 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 24 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.2% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041951500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041951500?
Census tract 41041951500 in Bayshore scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041951500?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041951500?
25.1% of residents in tract 41041951500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,907.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041951500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 23th, minority 29th, housing 19th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41041951500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 24 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 41041951500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.68% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41041951500 compare to Bayshore overall?
Tract 41041951500 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Bayshore at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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