Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
Olivia Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln City
Tract 41041950401 · Lincoln County, OR · pop 2,177 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 41041950401 covers part of the Olivia Beach area of Lincoln City, OR, and scores 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,177. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,157
Renter share48.1%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate23.7%
Median income$55,610
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln City and the region
Centroid at 44.9392, -124.0141 · click any tract to drill in
Why Olivia Beach scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln City
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
23.7% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,280 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln City
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln City
5.5
How Olivia Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 86Total filings 2020-21
- 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Olivia Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Olivia Beach
The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The dominant input is state political climate at 7.2/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 7/10.
On the national scale it lands near the 77th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Lincoln City as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 44% of renters. It tracks the Lincoln County average of 5.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,280, close to the Lincoln City average.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $55,610. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41041950401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41041950401?
Census tract 41041950401 in the Olivia Beach neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41041950401?
Median gross rent is $1,280/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41041950401?
23.7% of residents in tract 41041950401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,177.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41041950401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 67th, minority 33th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 41041950401 considered part of Olivia Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41041950401 fall within Olivia Beach (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41041950401 compare to Lincoln City overall?
Tract 41041950401 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln City at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln City
Top eight tracts in Lincoln City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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