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Census Tract · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Jefferson Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 41047010802 · Marion County, OR · pop 6,610 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Jefferson

Census tract 41047010802 covers Jefferson in Marion County, home to 6,610 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 37% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $979 a month while the average household earns $99,306 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 11% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,005
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$99,306

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Jefferson
Moderate
Within county
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#64 of 65 tracts In Marion County
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#918 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
National
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#66,742 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jefferson and the region

Centroid at 44.7494, -123.0276 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jefferson scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jefferson
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jefferson
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jefferson
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jefferson
3.7

How Jefferson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jefferson risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 010802Jefferson: 6.66.6Jeffersonparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 52

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 369Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.8%Peak (2004)
  • 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410470108022000: 27 filings (7.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 23 filings (5.97/100 renter HHs)2002: 32 filings (8.30/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 34 filings (8.82/100 renter HHs)2005: 32 filings (11.55/100 renter HHs)2006: 24 filings (8.66/100 renter HHs)2007: 25 filings (9.02/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (6.14/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (4.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 27 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (3.53/100 renter HHs)2012: 21 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)2014: 25 filings (4.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 19 filings (2.91/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jefferson

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jefferson, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marion County average of 6.2 and below the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 369 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.8% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41047010802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010802?

Census tract 41047010802 in Jefferson scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41047010802?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010802?

6.1% of residents in tract 41047010802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,610.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 36th, housing 69th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047010802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.12% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 41047010802 compare to Jefferson overall?

Tract 41047010802 scores 2.5/10, lower than the parent city of Jefferson at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jefferson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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