Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 41047010802 · Marion County, OR · pop 6,610 · 33% of tract blocks fall in Jefferson
Census tract 41047010802 covers part of Jefferson, OR, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,610. Against the Marion County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 3.0 points.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,005
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$99,306
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
1
th percentile
Very Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jefferson and the region
Centroid at 44.7494, -123.0276 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jefferson
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jefferson
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jefferson
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jefferson
3.7
How Jefferson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 369Total filings over 16 yrs
- 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2004)
- 19Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 37% here against 48.4% across Marion County. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. At $979 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Jefferson commands.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.6/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 369 filings here across 16 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 8.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Against average income of $99,306, annual rent is just 12%. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 3.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41047010802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41047010802?
Census tract 41047010802 in Jefferson scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41047010802?
Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41047010802?
6.1% of residents in tract 41047010802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,610.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41047010802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 50th, minority 36th, housing 69th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41047010802?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 369 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41047010802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.12% of renter households, peaking at 8.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 41047010802 compare to Jefferson overall?
Tract 41047010802 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jefferson at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jefferson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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