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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Bluff Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003010302 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 4,631 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 42003010302 in the Bluff area of Pittsburgh, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,631. Against Allegheny County at 40.6%, 70% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 20% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units313
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$56,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bluff
Very High
Within parent city
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4370, -79.9852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bluff scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0

How Bluff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bluff risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 0103025.9Pittsburghparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bluff

33% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.5/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0.

The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The voucher gap is 31.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $1,677 a month, rents run 33% over what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. Set annual rent against average income of $56,125 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003010302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003010302?

Census tract 42003010302 in the Bluff neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003010302?

Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003010302?

38.0% of residents in tract 42003010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 4th, minority 46th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 42003010302 considered part of Bluff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003010302 fall within Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003010302 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003010302 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003010302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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