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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Bluff Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003010302 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 4,631 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Eviction risk in the Bluff area of Pittsburgh centers on tract 42003010302, which scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,631 residents. On the national scale it ranks #4,074 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 70% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,677 a month against an average household income of $56,125 a year, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 68% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 20% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units313
Renter share67.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$56,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Bluff
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#25 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#35 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4370, -79.9852 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bluff scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,677 rent vs county FMR
8.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0

How Bluff compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bluff risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 010302Pittsburgh: 4.94.9Pittsburghparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bluff

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 98% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003010302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003010302?

Census tract 42003010302 in the Bluff neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003010302?

Median gross rent is $1,677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003010302?

38.0% of residents in tract 42003010302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,631.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003010302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 4th, minority 46th, housing 74th.
Q5

Is tract 42003010302 considered part of Bluff?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003010302 fall within Bluff (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42003010302 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003010302 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003010302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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