Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003161000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 2,902 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 6.5/10, tract 42003161000 in Arlington in Pittsburgh ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,902 residents. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

69% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $931 a month while the average household earns $55,076 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 16% Owners 47%

Tract context

Occupied units1,114

Renter share53.0%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate25.5%

Median income$55,076

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4126, -79.9695 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

25.5% poverty · this tract

6.4

Supply constraint

$931 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Pittsburgh

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.0

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
65%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
65%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003161000

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003161000?

Census tract 42003161000 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42003161000?

Median gross rent is $931/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003161000?

25.5% of residents in tract 42003161000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,902.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003161000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 65th, minority 63th, housing 34th.

Is tract 42003161000 considered part of Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003161000 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42003161000 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003161000 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 42003161000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.