Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Carrick Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh
Tract 42003290200 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 4,268 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 42003290200 sits in the Carrick area of Pittsburgh eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 4,268 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,849
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$46,128
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region
Centroid at 40.3994, -79.9838 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrick scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$791 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
How Carrick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 92%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 55%Grade B
- 45%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 288Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.1%Peak (2005)
- 45Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 22% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrick
At $791 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands. It sits 2.3 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0.
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The filing record is not thin: 288 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.1% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003290200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003290200?
Census tract 42003290200 in the Carrick neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003290200?
Median gross rent is $791/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003290200?
19.2% of residents in tract 42003290200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,268.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003290200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 92th, minority 55th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 42003290200 considered part of Carrick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003290200 fall within Carrick (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003290200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 288 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003290200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.80% of renter households, peaking at 8.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003290200 compare to Pittsburgh overall?
Tract 42003290200 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42003290200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh
Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Allentown
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Summer Hill
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Glenwood
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Allentown
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Perry Hilltop
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Belmar
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Bluff
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Garfield
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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