Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
McDonough Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harwick
Tract 42003416000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 1,475 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 42003416000 covers part of the McDonough Heights area of Harwick, PA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 25% here against 40.6% across Allegheny County.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units733
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$66,477
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harwick and the region
Centroid at 40.5533, -79.7924 · click any tract to drill in
Why McDonough Heights scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harwick
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harwick
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harwick
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harwick
5.5
How McDonough Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 13%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 26Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.91%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 600% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McDonough Heights
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 7.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 0.9 points below the Allegheny County average of 5.0. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 filings here across 7 tracked years. At $1,065 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Harwick commands.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 5.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003416000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003416000?
Census tract 42003416000 in the McDonough Heights neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003416000?
Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003416000?
9.7% of residents in tract 42003416000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003416000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 24th, minority 7th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 42003416000 considered part of McDonough Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003416000 fall within McDonough Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003416000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003416000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.91% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42003416000 compare to Harwick overall?
Tract 42003416000 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Harwick at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harwick; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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