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Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

McDonough Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harwick

Tract 42003416000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 1,475 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up the McDonough Heights neighborhood of Harwick, census tract 42003416000 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. On the national scale it ranks #52,315 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

25% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,065 monthly, set against $66,477 in average yearly household income, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 9% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units733
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$66,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In McDonough Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Harwick
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#204 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Moderate
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#1,501 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harwick and the region

Centroid at 40.5533, -79.7924 · click any tract to drill in

Why McDonough Heights scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harwick
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,065 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harwick
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harwick
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harwick
5.5

How McDonough Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
McDonough Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 416000Harwick: 3.83.8Harwickparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 26Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.91%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak (2005)
  • 7Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034160002000: 1 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)2001: 3 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (5.29/100 renter HHs)2006: 7 filings (5.29/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 600% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in McDonough Heights

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harwick, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 26 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.3% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003416000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003416000?

Census tract 42003416000 in the McDonough Heights neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003416000?

Median gross rent is $1,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003416000?

9.7% of residents in tract 42003416000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003416000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 24th, minority 7th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 42003416000 considered part of McDonough Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003416000 fall within McDonough Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003416000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 26 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003416000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.91% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003416000 compare to Harwick overall?

Tract 42003416000 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Harwick at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harwick; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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