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Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Carnot-Moon Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42003451102 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 6,088 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Carnot-Moon

How risky is Carnot-Moon in Allegheny County for landlords? Census tract 42003451102 scores 4.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 15% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

11% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 5% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,162 monthly, set against $91,471 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 29% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,117
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate3.2%
Median income$91,471

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Carnot-Moon
Elevated
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#353 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#2,992 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carnot-Moon and the region

Centroid at 40.5218, -80.1969 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carnot-Moon scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carnot-Moon
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,162 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carnot-Moon
2.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carnot-Moon
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carnot-Moon
2.8

How Carnot-Moon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carnot-Moon risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 451102Carnot-Moon: 3.83.8Carnot-Moonparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 349Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 6.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.9%Peak (2006)
  • 77Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034511022000: 54 filings (6.70/100 renter HHs)2001: 52 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2002: 41 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2003: 39 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2004: 40 filings (4.96/100 renter HHs)2005: 46 filings (7.68/100 renter HHs)2006: 77 filings (12.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 43% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carnot-Moon

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carnot-Moon eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003451102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003451102?

Census tract 42003451102 in Carnot-Moon scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003451102?

Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 11% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003451102?

3.2% of residents in tract 42003451102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,088.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003451102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 23th, minority 19th, housing 63th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003451102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 349 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003451102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.94% of renter households, peaking at 12.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42003451102 compare to Carnot-Moon overall?

Tract 42003451102 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Carnot-Moon at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carnot-Moon eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003451102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carnot-Moon

Top eight tracts in Carnot-Moon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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