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Census Tract · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally

Bethel Park Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42003475401 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,913

Census tract 42003475401 covers Bethel Park, home to 3,913 residents. For landlords it grades 4.6/10, a moderate reading. It lands near the 25th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 23% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a moderate level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $961 a month while the average household earns $96,964 a year, roughly 12% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 19% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,791
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$96,964

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 8 tracts In Bethel Park
Elevated
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#358 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very Low
Within state
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#2,992 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
National
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#75,086 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethel Park and the region

Centroid at 40.3403, -80.0148 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bethel Park scores 1.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethel Park
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$961 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethel Park
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethel Park
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethel Park
3.6

How Bethel Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bethel Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.91.9This tracttract 475401Bethel Park: 3.73.7Bethel Parkparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.03%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.4%Peak (2003)
  • 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420034754012000: 5 filings (2.43/100 renter HHs)2001: 8 filings (3.89/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (1.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 9 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2004: 7 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2006: 4 filings (2.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bethel Park

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethel Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003475401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003475401?

Census tract 42003475401 in Bethel Park scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003475401?

Median gross rent is $961/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003475401?

4.0% of residents in tract 42003475401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,913.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003475401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 26th, minority 6th, housing 56th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003475401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003475401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.03% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42003475401 compare to Bethel Park overall?

Tract 42003475401 scores 1.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bethel Park at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethel Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003475401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethel Park

Top eight tracts in Bethel Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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