Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

New Colony Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dravosburg

Tract 42003487000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 1,614 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 42003487000 in the New Colony area of Dravosburg, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,614 residents. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 26% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units844
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$47,016

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In New Colony
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dravosburg
Moderate
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#162 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#957 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dravosburg and the region

Centroid at 40.3506, -79.8902 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Colony scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Dravosburg
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$635 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dravosburg
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dravosburg
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dravosburg
5.5

How New Colony compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Colony risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 4870004.3Dravosburgparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 125Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2006)
  • 31Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42003487000
Filings climbed 94% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Colony. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Colony

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.8/10. Court records carry 125 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.6% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $47,016, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003487000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003487000?

Census tract 42003487000 in the New Colony neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003487000?

Median gross rent is $635/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003487000?

14.1% of residents in tract 42003487000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,614.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003487000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 31th, minority 9th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 42003487000 considered part of New Colony?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003487000 fall within New Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003487000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 125 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003487000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.46% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003487000 compare to Dravosburg overall?

Tract 42003487000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dravosburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dravosburg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related