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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Regent Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Swissvale

Tract 42003515100 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 2,911 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 42003515100, in Regent Square in Swissvale, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,911. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $974 a month against an average household income of $61,894 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 26% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,478
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$61,894

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Regent Square
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Swissvale
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#901 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Swissvale and the region

Centroid at 40.4182, -79.8785 · click any tract to drill in

Why Regent Square scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Swissvale
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$974 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Swissvale
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Swissvale
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Swissvale
6.1

How Regent Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Regent Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 515100Swissvale: 4.14.1Swissvaleparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 394Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.8%Peak (2001)
  • 63Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420035151002000: 55 filings (8.72/100 renter HHs)2001: 68 filings (10.78/100 renter HHs)2002: 57 filings (9.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 45 filings (7.13/100 renter HHs)2004: 62 filings (9.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 44 filings (8.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 63 filings (12.73/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Regent Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Regent Square

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Swissvale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 12% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003515100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003515100?

Census tract 42003515100 in the Regent Square neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42003515100?

Median gross rent is $974/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003515100?

13.8% of residents in tract 42003515100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,911.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003515100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 59th, minority 74th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 42003515100 considered part of Regent Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003515100 fall within Regent Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003515100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 394 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42003515100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.59% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42003515100 compare to Swissvale overall?

Tract 42003515100 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Swissvale at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Swissvale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42003515100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 12% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Swissvale

Top eight tracts in Swissvale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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