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Neighborhood · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally

Lower Thornburg Eviction Risk: Lower , Rosslyn Farms

Tract 42003564100 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 969 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Lower Thornburg area of Rosslyn Farms is where census tract 42003564100 sits, home to 969 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 3.8/10. It lands near the 9th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $150,556 a year. Renters make up 2% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 2% Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units414
Renter share2.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.7%
Median income$150,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lower Thornburg
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rosslyn Farms
Moderate
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#370 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very Low
Within state
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#3,211 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rosslyn Farms and the region

Centroid at 40.4274, -80.0871 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lower Thornburg scores 1.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rosslyn Farms
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
0.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rosslyn Farms
2.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rosslyn Farms
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rosslyn Farms
2.9

How Lower Thornburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lower Thornburg risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.61.6This tracttract 564100Rosslyn Farms: 3.83.8Rosslyn Farmsparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 1

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2000)
  • 1Filings in 2000 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420035641002000: 1 filings (3.46/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lower Thornburg

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rosslyn Farms, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 1st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 3.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.5% of renter households in 2000.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003564100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003564100?

Census tract 42003564100 in the Lower Thornburg neighborhood scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003564100?

0.7% of residents in tract 42003564100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 969.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003564100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 47th, minority 24th, housing 1th.
Q4

Is tract 42003564100 considered part of Lower Thornburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003564100 fall within Lower Thornburg (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003564100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42003564100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.46% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42003564100 compare to Rosslyn Farms overall?

Tract 42003564100 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Rosslyn Farms at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rosslyn Farms; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003564100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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