Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Mexican War Streets Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pittsburgh
Tract 42003565100 ·
Allegheny County, PA · pop 2,953 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Tract 42003565100 sits in the Mexican War Streets Historic District area of Pittsburgh eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 2,953 residents. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%Stable renters 31%Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,520
Renter share56.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$65,328
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Mexican War Streets Historic District
Moderate
Within parent city
99th percentile
#2 of 128 tracts In Pittsburgh
Very High
Within county
91th percentile
#35 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very High
Within state
94th percentile
#207 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region
Centroid at 40.4569, -80.0110 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mexican War Streets Historic District scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,150 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pittsburgh
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pittsburgh
6.0
How Mexican War Streets Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
59%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
2%Grade C
98%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mexican War Streets Historic District
It sits 2.3 points above the Allegheny County average of 5.0. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.8/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 40.6% across Allegheny County.
On the high side, economic stress reads 7/10. At $1,150 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Pittsburgh commands.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Pittsburgh. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 87th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $65,328.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42003565100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003565100?
Census tract 42003565100 in the Mexican War Streets Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42003565100?
Median gross rent is $1,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42003565100?
28.0% of residents in tract 42003565100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,953.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42003565100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 41th, minority 56th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 42003565100 considered part of Mexican War Streets Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003565100 fall within Mexican War Streets Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42003565100 compare to Pittsburgh overall?
Tract 42003565100 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 42003565100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 98% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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