Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Manchester Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pittsburgh

Tract 42003565200 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,011 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

The Manchester area of Pittsburgh anchors census tract 42003565200, which lands at 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

28% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,041 a month against an average household income of $62,283 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 42% Owners 42%

Tract context

Occupied units1,496

Renter share57.7%

SVI overall0.58

Poverty rate14.1%

Median income$62,283

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pittsburgh and the region

Centroid at 40.4574, -80.0237 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manchester scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

14.1% poverty · this tract

3.5

Supply constraint

$1,041 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Pittsburgh

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Pittsburgh

6.0

How Manchester compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

50%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
95%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manchester

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 58th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 95% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003565200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003565200?

Census tract 42003565200 in the Manchester neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42003565200?

Median gross rent is $1,041/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003565200?

14.1% of residents in tract 42003565200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,011.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003565200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 18th, minority 79th, housing 78th.

Is tract 42003565200 considered part of Manchester?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003565200 fall within Manchester (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42003565200 compare to Pittsburgh overall?

Tract 42003565200 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Pittsburgh at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pittsburgh eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 42003565200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 95% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pittsburgh

Top eight tracts in Pittsburgh ranked by composite eviction-risk score.