Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Lorane Orchards Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42011012004 · Berks County, PA · pop 7,010 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 42011012004 sits in the Lorane Orchards area of Lorane, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.1/10. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Berks County average of 42.9%.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,546
Renter share31.1%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$84,146
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorane and the region
Centroid at 40.2969, -75.8684 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lorane Orchards scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lorane
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorane
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorane
4.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorane
5.1
How Lorane Orchards compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 33
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lorane Orchards. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lorane Orchards
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.8/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
The voucher gap is 24.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.5/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 3.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Berks County average of 4.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,689, close to the Lorane average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $84,146. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42011012004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42011012004?
Census tract 42011012004 in the Lorane Orchards neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42011012004?
Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42011012004?
12.6% of residents in tract 42011012004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,010.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42011012004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 46th, minority 37th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 42011012004 considered part of Lorane Orchards?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42011012004 fall within Lorane Orchards (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42011012004 compare to Lorane overall?
Tract 42011012004 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Lorane at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorane; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorane
Top eight tracts in Lorane ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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