Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Somerton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42017101401 · Bucks County, PA · pop 5,200 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 42017101401 covers part of the Somerton area of Bucks County, PA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,200. Severe burden reaches 61%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,887
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$109,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
National
38
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bucks County and the region
Centroid at 40.1426, -75.0077 · click any tract to drill in
Why Somerton scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$883 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Somerton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 42Total filings over 7 yrs
- 5.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.0%Peak (2002)
- 4Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Somerton
65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Bucks County average of 41.8%. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. Court records carry 42 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2002, when 10.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10. Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $109,713, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42017101401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017101401?
Census tract 42017101401 in the Somerton neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42017101401?
Median gross rent is $883/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42017101401?
5.4% of residents in tract 42017101401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,200.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42017101401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 30th, minority 36th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 42017101401 considered part of Somerton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017101401 fall within Somerton (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017101401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017101401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.87% of renter households, peaking at 10.0% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Was tract 42017101401 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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