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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

New Britain Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42017104604 · Bucks County, PA · pop 6,316 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 42017104604 sits in the New Britain area of Bucks County, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.5/10. Severe burden reaches 30%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 15% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,565
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$111,151

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In New Britain
Very High
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 147 tracts In Bucks County
Low
Within state
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#2,304 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Britain and the region

Centroid at 40.3137, -75.1672 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Britain scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Britain
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,209 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Britain
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Britain
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Britain
5.0

How New Britain compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Britain risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.5This tracttract 1046043.8New Britainparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 152Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.49%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak (2005)
  • 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42017104604
Filings climbed 142% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within New Britain. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Britain

Against Bucks County at 41.8%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. The voucher gap is 22.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.3/10.

The filing record is not thin: 152 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 6.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42017104604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017104604?

Census tract 42017104604 in the New Britain neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42017104604?

Median gross rent is $2,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42017104604?

3.1% of residents in tract 42017104604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,316.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42017104604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 12th, minority 11th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 42017104604 considered part of New Britain?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017104604 fall within New Britain (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017104604?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 152 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017104604 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.49% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42017104604 compare to New Britain overall?

Tract 42017104604 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of New Britain at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Britain; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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