Treyburn Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.0 points below the Chester County average of 4.4. Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 6 observed years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 7.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.8/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 0%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.