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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Exton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42029302206 · Chester County, PA · pop 5,648 · 55% of tract blocks fall in Exton

Census tract 42029302206 covers part of Exton, PA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,648. Against Chester County at 41.5%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 46% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units2,228
Renter share54.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$130,800

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Exton
Very Low
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 124 tracts In Chester County
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Exton and the region

Centroid at 40.0310, -75.6511 · click any tract to drill in

Why Exton scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Exton
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,082 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Exton
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Exton
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Exton
3.1

How Exton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Exton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 3022065.9Extonparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Exton

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10.

The voucher gap is 15.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 0.9 points above the Chester County average of 4.4.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,082, close to the Exton average.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $130,800. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42029302206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029302206?

Census tract 42029302206 in Exton scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42029302206?

Median gross rent is $2,082/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42029302206?

4.2% of residents in tract 42029302206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,648.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42029302206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 15th, minority 47th, housing 31th.
Q5

How does tract 42029302206 compare to Exton overall?

Tract 42029302206 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Exton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Exton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Exton

Top eight tracts in Exton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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