Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Birch Street Eviction Risk: Moderate , Kennett Square
Tract 42029303401 ·
Chester County, PA · pop 3,904 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 42029303401 sits in the Birch Street area of Kennett Square, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 3,904 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%Stable renters 22%Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,446
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$78,900
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Birch Street
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Kennett Square
Very Low
Within county
76th percentile
#31 of 124 tracts In Chester County
High
Within state
65th percentile
#1,201 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kennett Square and the region
Centroid at 39.8404, -75.7119 · click any tract to drill in
Why Birch Street scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kennett Square
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kennett Square
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kennett Square
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kennett Square
5.0
How Birch Street compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
47%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
79Total filings over 7 yrs
2.70%Avg annual filing rate
4.1%Peak (2005)
10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings dropped 29% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Birch Street
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Chester County average of 41.5%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 79 filings here across 7 tracked years. At $1,217 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Kennett Square commands.
It sits 0.7 points above the Chester County average of 4.4. Filings peaked in 2005 at 4.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029303401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029303401?
Census tract 42029303401 in the Birch Street neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029303401?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029303401?
2.2% of residents in tract 42029303401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,904.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029303401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 64th, minority 71th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 42029303401 considered part of Birch Street?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029303401 fall within Birch Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029303401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 79 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029303401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.70% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029303401 compare to Kennett Square overall?
Tract 42029303401 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Kennett Square at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kennett Square; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Kennett Square
Top eight tracts in Kennett Square ranked by composite eviction-risk score.