Tract 42029304502 Eviction Risk: Lower

Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 3 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2001 at 3.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.