Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Cedar Cliff Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lower Allen
Tract 42041011002 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 2,438 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 42041011002 in the Cedar Cliff area of Lower Allen, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,438. Against Cumberland County at 35.8%, 52% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,251
Renter share57.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$55,264
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lower Allen and the region
Centroid at 40.2263, -76.9168 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cedar Cliff scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lower Allen
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$947 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lower Allen
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lower Allen
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lower Allen
4.3
How Cedar Cliff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 12%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.8%Peak (2000)
- 6Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Cedar Cliff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cedar Cliff
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $947, 19% below the Lower Allen average.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10. Against the Cumberland County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 22 evictions over 3 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2000, when 1.8% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Harrisburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041011002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041011002?
Census tract 42041011002 in the Cedar Cliff neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041011002?
Median gross rent is $947/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041011002?
10.5% of residents in tract 42041011002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,438.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041011002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 82th, minority 33th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 42041011002 considered part of Cedar Cliff?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42041011002 fall within Cedar Cliff (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041011002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041011002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.65% of renter households, peaking at 1.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42041011002 compare to Lower Allen overall?
Tract 42041011002 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lower Allen at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lower Allen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42041011002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lower Allen
Top eight tracts in Lower Allen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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