Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally
Colonial Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Mechanicsburg
Tract 42041011400 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 4,195 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the Colonial Heights neighborhood of Mechanicsburg, census tract 42041011400 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It lands near the 15th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 17% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $962 a month while the average household earns $65,417 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,196
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$65,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mechanicsburg and the region
Centroid at 40.2145, -77.0167 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonial Heights scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$962 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mechanicsburg
2.9
How Colonial Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 24%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 101Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2004)
- 40Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonial Heights
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Mechanicsburg, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 101 eviction filings here over 3 tracked years, with about 3.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42041011400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041011400?
Census tract 42041011400 in the Colonial Heights neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42041011400?
Median gross rent is $962/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42041011400?
6.5% of residents in tract 42041011400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,195.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42041011400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 18th, minority 24th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 42041011400 considered part of Colonial Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42041011400 fall within Colonial Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041011400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 101 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 42041011400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.18% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42041011400 compare to Mechanicsburg overall?
Tract 42041011400 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Mechanicsburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mechanicsburg; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mechanicsburg
Top eight tracts in Mechanicsburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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