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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Susquehanna Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Progress

Tract 42043021903 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,479 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 42043021903 sits in the Susquehanna Manor area of Progress, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.2/10. It is home to 3,479 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 24% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,500
Renter share39.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$89,559

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Susquehanna Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Progress
Very Low
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#52 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#2,601 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Progress and the region

Centroid at 40.2997, -76.8602 · click any tract to drill in

Why Susquehanna Manor scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Progress
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,619 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Progress
4.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Progress
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Progress
4.5

How Susquehanna Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Susquehanna Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0219034.0Progressparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 630Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 30.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 59.8%Peak (2002)
  • 102Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42043021903
Filings climbed 122% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Susquehanna Manor

At $1,619 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Progress commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.3/10.

It sits 1.4 points below the Dauphin County average of 4.6. The voucher gap is 18.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Court records carry 630 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 59.8% of renter households.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 31.0% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 38% of renters.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $89,559.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043021903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021903?

Census tract 42043021903 in the Susquehanna Manor neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043021903?

Median gross rent is $1,619/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021903?

6.0% of residents in tract 42043021903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,479.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 32th, minority 71th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 42043021903 considered part of Susquehanna Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021903 fall within Susquehanna Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 630 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.99% of renter households, peaking at 59.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42043021903 compare to Progress overall?

Tract 42043021903 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Progress at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Progress; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42043021903 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Progress

Top eight tracts in Progress ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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