Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Haven Croft Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 42043021904 ·
Dauphin County, PA · pop 5,594 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
42043021904 is a census tract in the Haven Croft area of Dauphin County, PA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.5/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%Stable renters 27%Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,262
Renter share39.8%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$111,544
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Haven Croft
Moderate
Within county
12th percentile
#59 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very Low
Within state
19th percentile
#2,785 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
National
20th percentile
#67,219 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dauphin County and the region
Centroid at 40.3198, -76.8654 · click any tract to drill in
Why Haven Croft scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,725 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Haven Croft compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
36%Socioeconomic
63%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
192Total filings over 6 yrs
8.81%Avg annual filing rate
11.5%Peak (2002)
17Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings dropped 32% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Haven Croft
The voucher gap is 25.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Dauphin County average of 4.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.6 points.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Dauphin County average of 39.0%. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.6/10.
11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 192 filings here across 6 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2002 at 11.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Average gross rent runs $1,725 a month. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $111,544.
40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043021904
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043021904?
Census tract 42043021904 in the Haven Croft neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043021904?
Median gross rent is $1,725/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043021904?
8.4% of residents in tract 42043021904 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,594.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043021904?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 63th, minority 62th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 42043021904 considered part of Haven Croft?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043021904 fall within Haven Croft (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043021904?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 192 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043021904 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.81% of renter households, peaking at 11.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.