Colonial Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 50.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.5/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

It sits 1.6 points below the Dauphin County average of 4.6. The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions over 6 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2001, when 7.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 13% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.