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Neighborhood · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Colonial Hills Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42043022401 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 4,753 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 42043022401, home to 4,753 residents in the Colonial Hills area of Dauphin, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 7% of renter households, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,062 monthly, set against $126,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 12% Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units2,049
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$126,875

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Colonial Hills
Moderate
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 67 tracts In Dauphin County
Very Low
Within state
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#2,770 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Dauphin County and the region

Centroid at 40.3273, -76.8252 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colonial Hills scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,062 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Colonial Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colonial Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 022401County: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 7

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 53Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.7%Peak (2001)
  • 9Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420430224012000: 13 filings (5.87/100 renter HHs)2001: 17 filings (7.68/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (0.45/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (2.71/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (4.12/100 renter HHs)2006: 9 filings (5.30/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 6 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colonial Hills

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 53 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.7% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42043022401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022401?

Census tract 42043022401 in the Colonial Hills neighborhood scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42043022401?

Median gross rent is $2,062/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022401?

1.9% of residents in tract 42043022401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,753.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 23th, minority 41th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 42043022401 considered part of Colonial Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022401 fall within Colonial Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022401?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.36% of renter households, peaking at 7.7% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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