Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Freys Grove Eviction Risk: Moderate , Middletown
Tract 42043023900 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 3,598 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 42043023900, home to 3,598 residents in the Freys Grove neighborhood of Middletown, scores 6.1/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #19,520 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,367 a month against an average household income of $62,885 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,654
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$62,885
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 40.2079, -76.7289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Freys Grove scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
5.7
How Freys Grove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 39%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 209Total filings over 6 yrs
- 10.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2000)
- 29Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Freys Grove
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 209 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 10.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.7% of renter households in 2000.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043023900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043023900?
Census tract 42043023900 in the Freys Grove neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043023900?
Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043023900?
17.8% of residents in tract 42043023900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,598.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043023900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 14th, minority 39th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 42043023900 considered part of Freys Grove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043023900 fall within Freys Grove (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043023900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 209 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043023900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.64% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043023900 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 42043023900 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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