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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

Georgetown Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , McKean

Tract 42049010301 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,881 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 42049010301, home to 4,881 residents in the Georgetown Heights neighborhood of McKean, scores 4.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 28th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

19% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $932 a month against an average household income of $86,544 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 9% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$86,544

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Georgetown Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In McKean
Moderate
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#49 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#1,566 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across McKean and the region

Centroid at 41.9958, -80.1285 · click any tract to drill in

Why Georgetown Heights scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McKean
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$932 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from McKean
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McKean
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from McKean
4.6

How Georgetown Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Georgetown Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 010301McKean: 4.04.0McKeanparent cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 211Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 16.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.2%Peak (2001)
  • 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420490103012000: 39 filings (22.43/100 renter HHs)2001: 42 filings (24.16/100 renter HHs)2002: 27 filings (15.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (14.96/100 renter HHs)2004: 33 filings (18.98/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (12.48/100 renter HHs)2006: 16 filings (7.13/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Georgetown Heights

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from McKean, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 211 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 16.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.2% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049010301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049010301?

Census tract 42049010301 in the Georgetown Heights neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049010301?

Median gross rent is $932/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 19% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049010301?

6.2% of residents in tract 42049010301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,881.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049010301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 53th, minority 4th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 42049010301 considered part of Georgetown Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049010301 fall within Georgetown Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049010301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 211 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049010301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.52% of renter households, peaking at 24.2% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049010301 compare to McKean overall?

Tract 42049010301 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of McKean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McKean; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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