Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wesleyville
Tract 42049011300 ·
Erie County, PA · pop 3,209 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
42049011300 is a census tract in the College Heights area of Wesleyville, PA. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,209 residents. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 12%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$46,506
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In College Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Wesleyville
Moderate
Within county
63th percentile
#28 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
62th percentile
#1,298 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wesleyville and the region
Centroid at 42.1369, -80.0123 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Heights scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wesleyville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$798 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wesleyville
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wesleyville
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wesleyville
7.9
How College Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
76%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
13%Grade B
59%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
381Total filings over 7 yrs
14.26%Avg annual filing rate
18.5%Peak (2003)
43Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings dropped 25% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Heights
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 7.9/10.
Court records carry 381 eviction filings across 7 observed years. It sits 0.6 points above the Erie County average of 4.3.
Filings peaked in 2003 at 18.5% of renter households. At $798 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Wesleyville commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011300?
Census tract 42049011300 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011300?
Median gross rent is $798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011300?
17.8% of residents in tract 42049011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,209.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 84th, minority 29th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011300 considered part of College Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011300 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049011300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 381 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.26% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049011300 compare to Wesleyville overall?
Tract 42049011300 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Wesleyville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wesleyville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049011300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.