Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wesleyville
Tract 42049011300 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,209 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
How risky is the College Heights neighborhood of Wesleyville for landlords? Census tract 42049011300 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $798 monthly, set against $46,506 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,343
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$46,506
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wesleyville and the region
Centroid at 42.1369, -80.0123 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Heights scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wesleyville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$798 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wesleyville
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wesleyville
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wesleyville
7.9
How College Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 29%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 13%Grade B
- 59%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 381Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.5%Peak (2003)
- 43Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Heights
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wesleyville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011300?
Census tract 42049011300 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011300?
Median gross rent is $798/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011300?
17.8% of residents in tract 42049011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,209.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 84th, minority 29th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011300 considered part of College Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011300 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049011300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 381 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.26% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049011300 compare to Wesleyville overall?
Tract 42049011300 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Wesleyville at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wesleyville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049011300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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