Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
University Gate Eviction Risk: Elevated , Penn State Erie (Behrend)
Tract 42049011511 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,301 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42049011511 runs through the University Gate area of Penn State Erie (Behrend). With 2,301 residents, it scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It lands near the 34th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
7% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $1,373 a month. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units189
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate35.7%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Penn State Erie (Behrend) and the region
Centroid at 42.1173, -79.9834 · click any tract to drill in
Why University Gate scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.7% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
2.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
1.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
2.9
How University Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 31%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University Gate
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Penn State Erie eviction risk (Behrend), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011511
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011511?
Census tract 42049011511 in the University Gate neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011511?
Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011511?
35.7% of residents in tract 42049011511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,301.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011511?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011511 considered part of University Gate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011511 fall within University Gate (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42049011511 compare to Penn State Erie (Behrend) overall?
Tract 42049011511 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Penn State Erie (Behrend) at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Penn State Erie eviction risk (Behrend); what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related