Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
University Gate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Penn State Erie (Behrend)
Tract 42049011511 ·
Erie County, PA · pop 2,301 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
42049011511 is a census tract in the University Gate area of Penn State Erie (Behrend), PA. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,301. Against Erie County at 42.3%, 7% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 33%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units189
Renter share36.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate35.7%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In University Gate
Moderate
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Penn State Erie (Behrend)
Moderate
Within county
72th percentile
#21 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
76th percentile
#838 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Penn State Erie (Behrend) and the region
Centroid at 42.1173, -79.9834 · click any tract to drill in
Why University Gate scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
35.7% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,373 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
2.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
1.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Penn State Erie (Behrend)
2.9
How University Gate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
86%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
31%Racial/ethnic minority
65%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University Gate
The dominant input is economic stress at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. The voucher gap is 22.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.3 points above the Erie County average of 4.3.
On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,373, close to the Penn State Erie (Behrend) average. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011511
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011511?
Census tract 42049011511 in the University Gate neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011511?
Median gross rent is $1,373/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011511?
35.7% of residents in tract 42049011511 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,301.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011511?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 1th, minority 31th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011511 considered part of University Gate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011511 fall within University Gate (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 42049011511 compare to Penn State Erie (Behrend) overall?
Tract 42049011511 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Penn State Erie (Behrend) at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Penn State Erie eviction risk (Behrend); what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.