Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown North East Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42049011600 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,092 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 42049011600 in the Downtown North East area of North East, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Erie County at 42.3%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$67,469
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across North East and the region
Centroid at 42.2134, -79.8334 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown North East scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North East
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$731 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from North East
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North East
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from North East
4.8
How Downtown North East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2003)
- 18Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown North East
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Court records carry 108 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2003, when 2.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Against average income of $67,469, annual rent is just 13%. It tracks the Erie County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $731, close to the North East average.
46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011600?
Census tract 42049011600 in the Downtown North East neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011600?
Median gross rent is $731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011600?
16.0% of residents in tract 42049011600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,092.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 38th, minority 14th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011600 considered part of Downtown North East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011600 fall within Downtown North East (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049011600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049011600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049011600 compare to North East overall?
Tract 42049011600 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of North East at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North East; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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