Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown North East Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42049011600 · Erie County, PA · pop 4,092 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Downtown North East in North East is where census tract 42049011600 sits, home to 4,092 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 41% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 11% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $731 a month while the average household earns $67,469 a year, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$67,469
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across North East and the region
Centroid at 42.2134, -79.8334 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown North East scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from North East
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$731 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from North East
2.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North East
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from North East
4.8
How Downtown North East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 108Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2003)
- 18Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown North East
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from North East, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 108 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.6% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049011600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049011600?
Census tract 42049011600 in the Downtown North East neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049011600?
Median gross rent is $731/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049011600?
16.0% of residents in tract 42049011600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,092.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049011600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 38th, minority 14th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 42049011600 considered part of Downtown North East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049011600 fall within Downtown North East (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049011600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 108 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049011600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.15% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049011600 compare to North East overall?
Tract 42049011600 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of North East at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North East; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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