Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Stemton Eviction Risk: Moderate , Coplay
Tract 42077005800 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,390 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42077005800 in the Stemton area of Coplay ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,390 residents. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 30% of renter households, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,163 a month against an average household income of $67,768 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$67,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Coplay and the region
Centroid at 40.6707, -75.4955 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stemton scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Coplay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,163 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Coplay
2.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Coplay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Coplay
4.0
How Stemton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 84Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2006)
- 17Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 89% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stemton
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Coplay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077005800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077005800?
Census tract 42077005800 in the Stemton neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077005800?
Median gross rent is $1,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077005800?
11.4% of residents in tract 42077005800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,390.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077005800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 78th, minority 46th, housing 14th.
Q5
Is tract 42077005800 considered part of Stemton?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077005800 fall within Stemton (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077005800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077005800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.92% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077005800 compare to Coplay overall?
Tract 42077005800 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Coplay at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Coplay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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