Sayre Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fountain Hill

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Lehigh County average of 4.7.

At $1,026 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Fountain Hill commands. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The filing record is not thin: 164 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 4.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bethlehem. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.