Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Sayre Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fountain Hill
Tract 42077006800 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,819 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 42077006800 covers the Sayre Park area of Fountain Hill, home to 4,819 residents. For landlords it grades 6.4/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #13,329 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,026 a month while the average household earns $54,615 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,800
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate16.3%
Median income$54,615
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fountain Hill and the region
Centroid at 40.6028, -75.3961 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sayre Park scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fountain Hill
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
16.3% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,026 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fountain Hill
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fountain Hill
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fountain Hill
7.1
How Sayre Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 41%Grade B
- 14%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2005)
- 27Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sayre Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fountain Hill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077006800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077006800?
Census tract 42077006800 in the Sayre Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077006800?
Median gross rent is $1,026/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077006800?
16.3% of residents in tract 42077006800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,819.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077006800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 85th, minority 55th, housing 80th.
Q5
Is tract 42077006800 considered part of Sayre Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077006800 fall within Sayre Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077006800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077006800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.49% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077006800 compare to Fountain Hill overall?
Tract 42077006800 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Fountain Hill at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fountain Hill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42077006800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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