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Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Grimesville Eviction Risk: Lower , Williamsport

Tract 42081011302 · Lycoming County, PA · pop 4,967 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 42081011302 covers part of the Grimesville area of Garden View, PA, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Against Lycoming County at 38.9%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,393
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$54,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Grimesville
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Williamsport
Moderate
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 32 tracts In Lycoming County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#2,005 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Williamsport and the region

Centroid at 41.2629, -77.0809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Grimesville scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Williamsport
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$972 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Williamsport
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Williamsport
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Williamsport
6.2

How Grimesville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Grimesville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0113024.6Williamsportparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 96Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.92%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2000)
  • 14Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42081011302
Filings dropped 26% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Grimesville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Grimesville

The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 96 evictions over 7 years of observation. On the softer side, regional political climate reads 2.9/10. Filings peaked in 2000 at 5.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Lycoming County average of 4.1 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42081011302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42081011302?

Census tract 42081011302 in the Grimesville neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42081011302?

Median gross rent is $972/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42081011302?

7.4% of residents in tract 42081011302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,967.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42081011302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 21th, minority 2th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 42081011302 considered part of Grimesville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42081011302 fall within Grimesville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42081011302?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42081011302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.92% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42081011302 compare to Williamsport overall?

Tract 42081011302 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Williamsport at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Williamsport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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