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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Merwinsburg Eviction Risk: Lower , Sun Valley

Tract 42089301204 · Monroe County, PA · pop 4,109 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 42089301204 sits in the Merwinsburg area of Sun Valley, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,109 residents. 83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Monroe County average of 50.7%.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 1% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,532
Renter share3.5%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$81,058

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Merwinsburg
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sun Valley
Moderate
Within county
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 51 tracts In Monroe County
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#2,785 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun Valley and the region

Centroid at 40.9765, -75.4532 · click any tract to drill in

Why Merwinsburg scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun Valley
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,782 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun Valley
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun Valley
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun Valley
3.0

How Merwinsburg compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Merwinsburg risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 3012043.2Sun Valleyparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Merwinsburg

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2/10. Against the Monroe County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. The voucher gap is 14.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42089301204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42089301204?

Census tract 42089301204 in the Merwinsburg neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42089301204?

Median gross rent is $1,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42089301204?

3.7% of residents in tract 42089301204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,109.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42089301204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 10th, minority 35th, housing 15th.
Q5

Is tract 42089301204 considered part of Merwinsburg?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42089301204 fall within Merwinsburg (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42089301204 compare to Sun Valley overall?

Tract 42089301204 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Sun Valley at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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