Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Somerset Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Old Orchard
Tract 42095017502 · Northampton County, PA · pop 4,935 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 42095017502 in the Somerset Village area of Old Orchard, PA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,935 residents. The voucher gap is 43.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,031
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$106,164
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
19
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Old Orchard and the region
Centroid at 40.6616, -75.2569 · click any tract to drill in
Why Somerset Village scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Old Orchard
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,158 rent vs county FMR
9.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Old Orchard
1.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Old Orchard
2.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Old Orchard
2.1
How Somerset Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 7 yrs
- 0.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2002)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Somerset Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Somerset Village
The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.3/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
Cost burden runs 54% here against 43.1% across Northampton County. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.4/10. Against the Northampton County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.5 points.
Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 7 tracked years.
At $2,158 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Old Orchard commands. The worst year on record was 2002, when 1.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42095017502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42095017502?
Census tract 42095017502 in the Somerset Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42095017502?
Median gross rent is $2,158/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42095017502?
4.3% of residents in tract 42095017502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42095017502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 51th, minority 37th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 42095017502 considered part of Somerset Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42095017502 fall within Somerset Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42095017502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42095017502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.95% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42095017502 compare to Old Orchard overall?
Tract 42095017502 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Old Orchard at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Old Orchard; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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